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Descrizione
English: Opinion polling for the 2022 Hungarian parliamentary election using local regressions (LOESS)
Code template: https://gitlab.com/gbuvn1/opinion-polling-graph
ggplot.R 
Sys.setlocale("LC_TIME", "English")
library(ggplot2)
library(anytime)
library(tidyverse)
library(svglite)

polls <- read.table("CAT.csv", header=T, sep=",", fileEncoding="UTF-8", stringsAsFactor=F)
polls$polldate <- as.Date(anydate(polls$polldate))

spansize <- 0.1         # general smoothing parameter for trend line
startdate <- '2018-04-08'   # date of previous election
enddate <- '2022-04-08'     # (latest) date of next election

# retrieve party names from CSV
party1 <- colnames(polls)[2]
party2 <- colnames(polls)[3]
party3 <- colnames(polls)[4]
party4 <- colnames(polls)[5]
party5 <- colnames(polls)[6]
party6 <- colnames(polls)[7]
party7 <- colnames(polls)[8]
party8 <- colnames(polls)[9]
party9 <- colnames(polls)[10]

# define party colors (taken from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Germany_political_party_colour_templates)
col1 <- '#FF6A00'
col2 <- '#008371'
col3 <- '#CC0000'
col4 <- '#3CB34D'
col5 <- '#36CA8B'
col6 <- '#0067AA'
col7 <- '#8E6FCE'
col8 <- '#808080'
col9 <- '#568203'

transp <-'55'       # transparency level of points

graph <- ggplot(polls)+
  geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date(startdate), color='#aaaaaabb')+       # vertical line (last election)
  geom_vline(xintercept = as.Date(enddate), color='#aaaaaabb')+         # vertical line (next election)
  geom_segment(aes(x=as.Date(startdate), xend=as.Date(enddate), y=5, yend=5), color='#666666bb', linetype='dashed')+      # horizontal line (election threshold 5%)
  # add poll points
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party1),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col1,transp),fill=paste0(col1,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party2),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col2,transp),fill=paste0(col2,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party3),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col3,transp),fill=paste0(col3,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party4),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col4,transp),fill=paste0(col4,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party5),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col5,transp),fill=paste0(col5,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party6),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col6,transp),fill=paste0(col6,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party7),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col7,transp),fill=paste0(col7,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party8),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col8,transp),fill=paste0(col8,transp))+
  geom_point(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party9),size=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,3,1.5),shape=ifelse(polls$polldate==startdate | polls$polldate==enddate,23,21),color=paste0(col9,transp),fill=paste0(col9,transp))+
  # add trend lines
  # the "span" (smoothing parameter) should be manually changed for individual parties that have less polling data
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party1,color=shQuote('col1')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party2,color=shQuote('col2')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party3,color=shQuote('col3')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party4,color=shQuote('col4')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party5,color=shQuote('col5')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party6,color=shQuote('col6')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party7,color=shQuote('col7')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party8,color=shQuote('col8')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  geom_smooth(aes_string(x='polldate',y=party9,color=shQuote('col9')),method="loess",span=spansize,n=500,se=FALSE)+
  scale_y_continuous(labels = function(x) paste0(x, "%"),limits=c(0,62))+    # add %, manual limits on y-axis
  scale_x_date(limits = as.Date(c(startdate,enddate)), date_minor_breaks = "1 months", date_breaks = "3 months", date_labels = "%b %Y")+    # grid: 1 month, labels: 3 months
  labs(x = "", y = "")+
  scale_color_manual(name="",
                     breaks = c('col1','col2','col3','col4','col5','col6','col7','col8','col9'),
                     labels = c(party1,party2,party3,party4,party5,party6,party7,party8,party9),
                     values = c('col1'=col1,'col2'=col2,'col3'=col3,'col4'=col4,'col5'=col5,'col6'=col6,'col7'=col7,'col8'=col8,'col9'=col9))+
  # legend appearance
  theme(
    axis.text.x = element_text(size = 11),
    axis.text.y = element_text(size = 12),
    axis.title.y = element_text(size = 16),
    legend.position="right",
    legend.key.width=unit(24, "pt"),
    legend.key.height=unit(24, "pt"),
    legend.text = element_text(size=16, margin = margin(b = 5, t = 5, unit = "pt")))

graph + theme()

ggsave(file="polls.svg", plot=graph, width=18, height=10)

# workaround since svglite doesn't properly work in Wikipedia
aaa=readLines("polls.svg",-1)
bbb <- gsub(".svglite ", "", aaa)
writeLines(bbb,"polls.svg")
CAT.csv 
polldate,Fidesz-KDNP,Jobbik,MSZP,Parbeszed,LMP,DK,Momentum,MKKP,Mi Hazank
2018-04-08,49.27,19.06,11.91,,7.06,5.38,3.06,1.73,
2018-04-23,49,18,15,,5,4,3,3,
2018-04-30,52,19,10,,6,6,4,2,
2018-05-09,48,18,15,,5,4,3,3,
2018-05-13,50,21,11,,6,6,3,1,
2018-05-22,54,19,9,,6,5,4,2,
2018-06-01,59,16,11,,3,7,3,0,
2018-06-11,55,17,9,2,5,6,2,3,
2018-06-13,48,16,16,,5,4,3,3,
2018-06-22,55,18,9,,6,5,4,2,
2018-07-06,53,13,14,,6,6,,,
2018-07-16,49,17,16,,5,4,2,3,0
2018-07-17,55,17,9,,5,7,4,2,1
2018-07-18,55,13,10,3,5,7,1,3,0
2018-08-14,54,17,9,,5,4,4,2,1
2018-08-16,52,16,15,,4,7,2,3,0
2018-08-18,56,14,10,,5,7,2,3,0
2018-09-10,53,14,13,,5,7,,,
2018-09-18,52,18,8,,5,8,3,1,1
2018-09-19,57,14,11,1,4,7,3,3,2
2018-09-19,53,14,15,,5,5,2,2,0
2018-09-26,60,11,9,,4,10,2,3,2
2019-05-22,52,15,14,,4,7,4,2,1
2019-05-19,54,10,10,,5,10,6,3,2
2019-05-18,55,12,11,,4,10,5,1,2
2019-05-18,51,9,7,,3,11,6,,3
2019-05-14,53,12,12,,5,11,4,2,2
2019-05-11,50,14,7,,5,8,6,4,2
2019-05-06,50,13,10,2,5,9,4,4,2
2019-04-26,57,11,10,,5,8,4,3,2
2019-04-25,57,6,12,1,4,11,5,2,1
2019-04-23,52,15,16,,4,7,6,0,0
2019-04-21,54,14,10,,4,9,4,,2
2019-04-15,53,12,12,1,4,9,4,2,2
2019-04-03,56,11,11,1,6,10,3,1,0
2019-04-01,48,14,10,2,4,9,6,3,2
2019-03-28,56,12,11,,5,6,4,4,2
2019-03-20,50,16,17,,2,4,4,4,1
2019-03-19,50,14,13,1,4,9,5,1,2
2019-03-04,47,17,10,2,3,9,4,4,2
2019-02-22,54,13,11,,5,6,4,4,3
2019-02-20,50,17,15,,3,5,4,2,0
2019-02-10,49,14,12,2,4,9,4,2,2
2019-01-28,47,16,10,2,3,9,6,4,1
2019-01-27,56,13,12,1,5,9,3,0,1
2019-01-27,54,13,10,,5,7,4,3,3
2019-01-16,47,17,16,,4,6,4,3,1
2019-01-13,53,13,12,,5,8,,,
2019-01-11,48,17,12,2,4,8,5,3,1
2018-12-20,50,11,10,3,4,9,5,4,1
2018-12-19,48,15,16,,4,6,4,3,1
2018-12-15,54,14,11,,4,7,4,3,3
2018-12-11,51,15,13,2,3,8,4,3,2
2018-12-05,59,12,10,,2,10,3,1,2
2018-12-03,51,12,10,2,3,9,5,4,2
2018-11-27,53,15,10,,4,7,4,4,2
2018-11-22,55,12,11,1,3,8,5,3,1
2018-11-21,54,13,14,,4,5,2,3,2
2018-10-29,51,17,10,,4,8,4,4,1
2018-10-22,55,18,8,1,3,7,2,4,1
2018-10-21,57,12,11,2,3,7,4,2,1
2018-10-17,63,11,8,1,2,9,3,1,1
2018-10-17,52,14,15,,4,5,2,3,1
2021-11-24,47,10,7,3,2,19,5,2,3
2021-11-23,41,10,7,4,3,15,9,4,3
2021-11-12,37,6,4,2,3,18,5,4,4
2021-10-29,42,11,7,2,3,16,10,3,2
2021-10-19,47,14,7,3,2,19,4,1,1
2021-10-16,44,3,1,,1,18,4,2,3
2021-10-04,44,13,8,2,2,18,9,2,1
2021-09-18,45,5,2,,1,13,4,2,1
2021-09-07,48,13,5,2,2,16,7,3,3
2021-08-28,45,15,7,2,3,17,8,1,1
2021-08-26,50,13,6,2,2,17,5,2,2
2021-08-01,47,13,5,2,2,16,9,4,3
2021-07-04,47,15,4,2,2,15,8,3,3
2021-06-08,46,15,5,2,2,16,9,2,2
2021-05-21,44,11,10,,2,12,8,1,1
2021-05-17,46,16,7,1,3,18,7,1,1
2021-05-11,54,14,2,1,2,13,8,2,1
2021-05-04,46,14,5,2,1,16,9,2,2
2021-04-28,48,10,9,1,1,11,8,1,1
2021-04-23,46,14,9,2,2,13,12,1,1
2021-04-22,47,15,7,1,2,17,8,1,1
2021-03-31,44,14,5,2,1,17,10,3,3
2021-03-11,47,14,3,2,3,9,9,2,3
2021-03-11,46,14,7,2,2,16,9,1,3
2021-02-25,45,10,9,1,1,12,9,1,1
2021-02-25,44,11,6,3,2,17,10,2,2
2021-02-22,46,11,8,2,2,15,13,3,1
2021-02-13,47,12,8,1,3,18,9,1,1
2021-01-21,46,8,8,3,2,16,13,2,2
2020-12-18,49,10,4,,2,11,13,5,3
2020-12-15,47,9,6,2,2,17,11,2,3
2020-12-15,46,8,8,3,2,15,14,2,2
2020-12-08,45,10,7,2,2,19,10,3,2
2020-12-04,47,9,7,2,3,17,10,2,2
2020-11-24,48,7,8,2,2,15,13,3,2
2020-11-23,48,8,10,2,1,13,11,1,1
2020-11-17,47,10,7,2,2,17,11,2,2
2020-11-05,48,8,6,2,3,17,10,2,2
2020-10-26,50,7,7,2,2,15,12,3,2
2020-10-20,51,12,6,1,2,12,10,3,2
2020-10-15,49,10,6,2,2,17,10,2,2
2020-10-04,50,8,6,2,2,17,10,2,2
2020-09-25,49,9,9,1,1,13,11,2,1
2020-09-18,50,9,6,2,2,18,10,1,2
2020-08-31,52,7,6,2,2,16,10,2,2
2020-08-31,48,8,10,2,2,14,10,2,2
2020-08-24,54,8,6,1,3,14,9,4,1
2020-08-19,51,8,6,2,2,15,10,2,3
2020-08-03,52,6,6,2,2,16,10,2,1
2020-07-15,52,7,5,1,3,15,11,3,3
2020-07-02,51,9,4,,3,11,16,4,1
2020-06-30,50,6,6,2,2,15,13,2,2
2020-06-10,51,7,11,,2,14,11,2,2
2020-06-05,52,9,4,,2,12,14,5,1
2020-06-05,50,7,7,2,2,12,12,4,2
2020-05-31,49,7,6,2,2,17,11,1,3
2020-05-22,50,8,12,,1,16,11,2,1
2020-05-08,54,9,3,,2,11,13,6,1
2020-04-26,50,7,7,2,2,16,12,1,2
2020-04-19,53,9,11,,3,15,8,0,1
2020-04-18,55,9,3,,1,12,11,5,1
2020-04-18,51,9,10,,2,13,9,2,1
2020-03-21,52,10,8,,2,13,7,1,2
2020-03-20,49,9,7,2,2,16,9,2,3
2020-03-14,51,10,4,1,3,10,13,5,2
2020-03-13,50,9,7,2,2,16,9,2,2
2020-03-10,48,10,12,,2,14,12,1,1
2020-02-27,55,11,6,1,4,13,7,1,1
2020-02-20,51,10,7,2,2,14,9,2,2
2020-02-12,47,9,6,2,3,16,10,3,3
2020-01-20,52,9,7,1,3,14,10,1,2
2020-01-16,50,10,5,,4,10,13,4,3
2019-12-20,47,10,11,0,2,12,12,3,1
2019-12-15,50,9,7,2,1,15,10,2,3
2019-12-05,54,10,7,,3,11,10,2,3
2019-12-03,49,7,5,2,2,17,12,3,2
2019-11-30,52,9,7,,3,10,11,4,3
2019-11-16,49,9,8,1,2,15,11,2,3
2019-10-31,51,9,7,2,2,14,9,2,3
2019-10-27,52,9,6,,3,11,13,3,2
2019-10-23,59,6,9,0,3,14,6,1,1
2019-10-22,50,10,10,,2,12,12,2,2
2019-09-26,62,7,10,,1,13,5,1,1
2019-09-25,54,8,7,2,3,11,10,0,3
2019-09-24,50,8,7,1,2,16,9,3,2
2019-09-15,54,7,8,,2,15,8,1,3
2019-08-26,53,8,6,,3,11,11,4,3
2019-08-17,52,10,10,,2,12,11,2,1
2019-08-14,53,9,7,1,2,14,7,2,3
2019-07-28,52,9,7,,3,11,11,4,3
2019-07-26,48,9,6,1,3,18,8,4,2
2019-07-23,51,10,10,,2,11,10,2,2
2019-07-14,51,8,7,1,2,17,7,3,3
2019-07-02,57,8,8,,2,17,6,1,1
2019-06-27,52,10,10,,3,12,11,1,1
2019-06-26,53,8,6,,3,12,10,5,2
2019-06-14,53,7,7,1,2,17,9,2,3
2019-06-09,49,9,8,2,2,15,9,3,2
2022-01-25,46,11,7,3,2,16,7,3,3
2022-01-14,48,11,4,2,1,17,9,3,4
2021-12-14,43,10,7,3,3,16,9,3,4
2021-12-13,47,11,3,2,1,18,10,3,4
2021-12-11,40,11,2,1,2,10,7,4,5
2021-11-30,46,9,10,,1,13,6,0,1
2022-03-11,50,12,4,2,1,17,7,3,3
2022-03-05,58,4,3,,1,14,5,3,4
2022-02-10,50,11,6,3,2,17,5,2,4
2022-02-09,49,11,4,2,1,17,8,3,4
Data
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Autore PLATEL

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attuale20:34, 31 mar 2022Miniatura della versione delle 20:34, 31 mar 20221 620 × 900 (327 KB)BeimelJUpdated using 4 new polling results from feb. and mar.
01:00, 3 feb 2022Miniatura della versione delle 01:00, 3 feb 20221 620 × 900 (321 KB)PLATELupdate
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